Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
