SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 36.91%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 36.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Ilves win was 1-0 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
36.85% ( 0.28) | 26.24% ( -0.14) | 36.91% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.82% ( 0.6) | 51.18% ( -0.6) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.98% ( 0.52) | 73.02% ( -0.52) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.09% ( 0.44) | 26.91% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.76% ( 0.58) | 62.24% ( -0.58) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.12% ( 0.2) | 26.88% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.81% ( 0.26) | 62.19% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 1-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.85% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.23% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.23% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.2% 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | SJKSJK | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | HJK Helsinki | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 3 | KuPSKuPS | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 19 |
| 4 | Oulu | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 14 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 12 |
| 6 | IlvesIlves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | HakaHaka | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | KTP | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 9 |
| 9 | Inter Turku | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 7 |
| 10 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
| 11 | LahtiLahti | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 12 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 6 |
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