SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 21 | 4 | 22 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 21 | -10 | 21 |
| 11 | Lahti | 21 | -23 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 21 | -10 | 21 |
| 11 | Lahti | 21 | -23 | 18 |
| 12 | HIFK Fotboll | 21 | -28 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Mariehamn win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 26.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Mariehamn win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Mariehamn would win this match.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
50.29% ( 0.01) | 23.46% ( 0) | 26.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.03% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.04) | 43.08% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.52% ( -0.03) | 65.48% ( 0.03) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.77% ( -0.01) | 17.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.46% ( -0.02) | 47.54% ( 0.02) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.11% ( -0.03) | 29.89% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.02% ( -0.04) | 65.98% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Lahti |
| 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.06% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.67% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.05% 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0)Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.29% | 1-1 @ 10.93% 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.15% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.46% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 26.24% |
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