SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Vaasan Palloseura | 16 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | IFK Mariehamn | 16 | -8 | 15 |
| 11 | Lahti | 17 | -22 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Honka | 16 | 19 | 33 |
| 4 | Haka | 16 | -1 | 25 |
| 5 | Oulu | 16 | -1 | 24 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for IFK Mariehamn had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.72%). The likeliest IFK Mariehamn win was 1-0 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Haka |
29.72% ( 0.09) | 25.45% ( -0.04) | 44.83% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( 0.22) | 49.52% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( 0.19) | 71.55% ( -0.19) |
| IFK Mariehamn Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.17) | 30.66% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.1% ( 0.2) | 66.9% ( -0.2) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( 0.07) | 22.06% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.59% ( 0.11) | 55.4% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| IFK Mariehamn | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 8% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.05% Total : 29.72% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 10.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.83% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | HJK Helsinki | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 17 |
| 2 | KuPSKuPS | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 16 |
| 3 | SJKSJK | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Oulu | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 11 |
| 5 | HonkaHonka | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 9 |
| 6 | HakaHaka | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 | IlvesIlves | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 8 | LahtiLahti | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
| 9 | KTP | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Vaasan PalloseuraVPS | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
| 11 | IFK MariehamnMariehamn | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 4 |
| 12 | Inter Turku | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3 |
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