Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HJK Helsinki win with a probability of 47.5%. A win for Haka had a probability of 26.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a HJK Helsinki win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HJK Helsinki would win this match.
