Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (7.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
