Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for SC Paderborn had a probability of 37.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.27%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest SC Paderborn win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
