SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Jahn Regensburg had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (7.57%). The likeliest Jahn Regensburg win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Jahn Regensburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
29.94% ( -0.06) | 25.15% ( -0.01) | 44.91% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.15% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.86% ( 0.02) | 48.13% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.7% ( 0.02) | 70.29% ( -0.02) |
| Jahn Regensburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( -0.03) | 29.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.13% ( -0.04) | 65.87% ( 0.04) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.55% ( 0.04) | 21.45% ( -0.04) |
