SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Magdeburg had a probability of 19.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.05%) and 3-1 (7.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Magdeburg win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Magdeburg |
61.46% ( 0.77) | 19.45% ( -0.27) | 19.09% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 62.56% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.24% ( 0.54) | 32.76% ( -0.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.56% ( 0.61) | 54.44% ( -0.61) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% ( 0.35) | 10.36% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.15% ( 0.79) | 33.85% ( -0.79) |
| Magdeburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.79% ( -0.15) | 30.21% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.62% ( -0.18) | 66.38% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Magdeburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.09)1-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 4.36% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 4.12% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.4% Total : 61.46% | 1-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.13% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.45% | 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.69% Total : 19.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Heidenheim | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 67 | 36 | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 50 | 33 | 17 | 67 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 66 |
| 4 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 34 | 17 | 7 | 10 | 60 | 43 | 17 | 58 |
| 5 | St Pauli | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 55 | 39 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 55 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 58 | 61 | -3 | 46 |
| 9 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 45 |
| 10 | Hannover | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Magdeburg | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 48 | 55 | -7 | 43 |
| 12 | Greuther Furth | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 47 | 50 | -3 | 41 |
| 13 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 34 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 41 |
| 14 | Nuremberg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 39 |
| 15 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 59 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Arminia Bielefeld | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 62 | -12 | 34 |
| 17 | Jahn RegensburgJahn | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 31 |
| 18 | SV SandhausenSV Sandhausen | 34 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 35 | 63 | -28 | 28 |
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