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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Holstein-Stadion
Holstein Kiel
3 - 4
St Pauli
Machino (53'), Mees (65'), Bernhardsson (82')
Schulz (45')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Afolayan (10', 36'), Hartel (34'), Metcalfe (57')
Saliakas (90+4'), Hurzeler (90+5')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Holstein Kiel and St Pauli.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: SC Paderborn 0-4 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, February 17 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Braunschweig
Sunday, February 18 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 30.12% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (6.45%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.55%).

Result
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
30.12% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06) 22.2% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 47.68% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Both teams to score 65.76% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.75% (0.031000000000006 0.03)34.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.85% (0.036000000000001 0.04)56.15% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.75% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)56.43% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.12% (0.036000000000001 0.04)14.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.77% (0.067999999999998 0.07)43.23% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Holstein Kiel 30.12%
    St Pauli 47.68%
    Draw 22.2%
Holstein KielDrawSt Pauli
2-1 @ 7.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.71% (-0.01 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.83% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 30.12%
1-1 @ 9.55% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.73% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 3.39% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 22.2%
1-2 @ 9.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 6.14% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.28% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.75% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.86% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.05% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 47.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: SC Paderborn 0-4 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, February 17 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Schalke
Sunday, February 11 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-1 Holstein Kiel
Friday, February 2 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Greuther Furth 2-1 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, January 28 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-2 Braunschweig
Friday, January 19 at 5.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Holstein Kiel 3-0 Hannover
Saturday, December 16 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 1-0 Braunschweig
Sunday, February 18 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Magdeburg 1-0 St Pauli
Saturday, February 10 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 3-2 Greuther Furth
Saturday, February 3 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 2-2 Dusseldorf (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-2 St Pauli
Saturday, January 27 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 2-0 Kaiserslautern
Saturday, January 20 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

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