SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hannover win with a probability of 44.15%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hannover win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hannover | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
44.15% ( 0.17) | 22.93% ( -0.06) | 32.92% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.49% ( 0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.48% ( 0.27) | 36.51% ( -0.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.34% ( 0.3) | 58.66% ( -0.3) |
| Hannover Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.95% ( 0.18) | 17.05% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.79% ( 0.31) | 47.21% ( -0.31) |
| Holstein Kiel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( 0.07) | 22.25% ( -0.07) |
