SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 54.18%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 24.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.22%) and 1-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 1-2 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
54.18% ( 0.24) | 21.32% ( -0.07) | 24.5% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 63.85% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.39% ( 0.17) | 34.61% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.45% ( 0.19) | 56.55% ( -0.19) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( 0.13) | 12.92% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.63% ( 0.26) | 39.37% ( -0.26) |
| Kaiserslautern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.04) | 26.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -0.05) | 61.93% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Kaiserslautern |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.52% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 54.18% | 1-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.45% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.36% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.5% |
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