SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 52.32%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.62%) and 1-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Greuther Furth |
52.32% ( -0.09) | 21.35% ( 0.02) | 26.32% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 65.75% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.03% ( -0.08) | 32.96% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.32% ( -0.09) | 54.68% ( 0.09) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% ( -0.05) | 12.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 60.63% ( -0.11) | 39.37% ( 0.11) |
| Greuther Furth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.51% ( -0) | 24.49% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.05% ( -0.01) | 58.94% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Greuther Furth |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.62% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.36% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 52.32% | 1-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.56% 0-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.35% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.08% 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.08% 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.64% Total : 26.32% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Pauli | 15 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 31 |
| 2 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 28 |
| 4 | Fortuna DusseldorfDusseldorf | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 27 |
| 5 | Greuther Furth | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 27 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 24 |
| 7 | Hannover | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 23 |
| 8 | Wehen WiesbadenWiesbaden | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 21 |
| 9 | Nuremberg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 21 |
| 10 | Magdeburg | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 24 | 3 | 19 |
| 11 | Hertha Berlin | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 18 |
| 12 | SC PaderbornSC Paderborn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
| 13 | KaiserslauternKaiserslautern | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 18 |
| 14 | Karlsruher SCKarlsruher | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 16 |
| 15 | Schalke 04Schalke | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Hansa RostockHansa Rostock | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 16 |
| 17 | Eintracht BraunschweigBraunschweig | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 8 |
| 18 | VfL OsnabruckOsnabruck | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 7 |
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