MX23RW : Saturday, September 24 11:20:46
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 59.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 16.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spain in this match.

Result
SpainDrawSweden
59.74%23.37%16.89%
Both teams to score 45.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.46%53.54%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.95%75.05%
Spain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38%17.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.79%48.21%
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.92%45.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19%80.99%
Score Analysis
    Spain 59.74%
    Sweden 16.89%
    Draw 23.36%
SpainDrawSweden
1-0 @ 13.78%
2-0 @ 11.97%
2-1 @ 9.54%
3-0 @ 6.93%
3-1 @ 5.52%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.4%
3-2 @ 2.2%
5-0 @ 1.04%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 59.74%
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 7.94%
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 6.33%
1-2 @ 4.38%
0-2 @ 2.52%
1-3 @ 1.16%
2-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 16.89%

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