SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hong Kong win with a probability of 59.23%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Bhutan had a probability of 19.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hong Kong win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.94%), while for a Bhutan win it was 2-1 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bhutan | Draw | Hong Kong |
19.45% ( 0.93) | 21.31% ( 1.44) | 59.23% ( -2.39) |
| Both teams to score 56.39% ( -3.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.92% ( -5.33) | 41.07% ( 5.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.53% ( -5.64) | 63.47% ( 5.64) |
| Bhutan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.22% ( -2.18) | 34.77% ( 2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.49% ( -2.37) | 71.5% ( 2.37) |
| Hong Kong Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.46% ( -2.34) | 13.54% ( 2.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.39% ( -4.87) | 40.61% ( 4.86) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bhutan | Draw | Hong Kong |
| 2-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.23) 1-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.88)2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.33)3-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.98% Total : 19.45% | 1-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.98) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.25)0-0 @ 4.71% ( 1.05)3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.27)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.31% | 1-2 @ 9.94% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 1.42)0-2 @ 9.41% ( 0.66)1-3 @ 6.63% ( -0.53)0-3 @ 6.27% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.51)1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.6)0-4 @ 3.14% ( -0.36)2-4 @ 1.75% ( -0.44)1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.39)0-5 @ 1.26% ( -0.27)Other @ 3.28% Total : 59.23% |
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