Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United Women win with a probability of 45.5%. A win for Arsenal Women had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.55%). The likeliest Arsenal Women win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Manchester United Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
45.5% ( -0.18) | 23.36% ( 0) | 31.13% ( 0.18) |
Both teams to score 62.04% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.62% ( 0.07) | 39.37% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.28% ( 0.08) | 61.71% ( -0.08) |
Manchester United Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.35% ( -0.04) | 17.65% ( 0.04) |