MX23RW : Wednesday, April 19 17:40:02
SM
Bayern vs. Man City: 1 hr 19 mins
Feb 5, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
gameweek 14 | 1st Leg
Arsenal Women
1 - 1
Man Utd Women
Blackstenius (79')
McCabe (57'), Miedema (63')
McCabe (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Russo (10')
Caldwell (55')

We said: Arsenal Women 2-1 Manchester United Women

Before losing to Chelsea in midweek, Man United had enjoyed a seven-game winning run, but with Arsenal proving to be invincible at home in the WSL this season, we think that the Gunners will edge out the visitors on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Manchester United Women had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Manchester United Women win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester United Women
60.13%21.66%18.21%
Both teams to score 52.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.43%44.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.07%66.93%
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.6%14.4%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.69%42.3%
Manchester United Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.84%38.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.07%74.93%
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Women 60.12%
    Manchester United Women 18.21%
    Draw 21.65%
Arsenal WomenDrawManchester United Women
1-0 @ 10.64%
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.67%
3-1 @ 6.42%
4-0 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.25%
5-1 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 60.12%
1-1 @ 10.25%
0-0 @ 5.5%
2-2 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 5.29%
1-2 @ 4.94%
0-2 @ 2.55%
1-3 @ 1.59%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 18.21%

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