Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flint Town United win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Flint Town United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.25%). The likeliest Aberystwyth Town win was 0-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.