Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 56.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cerrito had a probability of 19.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Cerrito win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.
