Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rentistas win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Cerrito had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rentistas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Cerrito win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
