Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Boston River had a probability of 30.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Boston River win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
