Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo Wanderers win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 28.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 0-1 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo Wanderers would win this match.
