Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
