Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-0 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
