Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 44.74%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.88%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (9.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Plaza Colonia in this match.
