Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plaza Colonia win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 30.71% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plaza Colonia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 0-1 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
