Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8
Nov 5, 2023 at 11pm UK
Estadio Domingo Burgueno Miguel
Maldonado
1 - 2
Danubio
Fernandez (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 35.97%. A win for Deportivo Maldonado had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.24%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 (12.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.
| Result |
| Deportivo Maldonado | Draw | Danubio |
34.19% ( -0.07) | 29.84% ( 0.04) | 35.97% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.54% ( -0.11) |
| 35.38% ( -0.13) | 64.62% ( 0.13) |
| 16.38% ( -0.09) | 83.62% ( 0.09) |
| Deportivo Maldonado Goals |
| 64.62% ( -0.12) | 35.38% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.86% ( -0.12) | 72.14% ( 0.12) |
| 65.82% ( -0.05) | 34.17% ( 0.05) |
