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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 1
Jun 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli
Cerro
1 - 1
Nacional
Nandin (1')
Perez (45+1'), Denis (83'), Souza (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Pereiro (79')
Rodriguez (18'), Pereiro (79')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cerro 1-0 Racing
Monday, May 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.26%) and 1-2 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Cerro win it was 1-0 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
CerroDrawNacional
25.89% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 27.34% (0.695 0.7) 46.76% (-0.64 -0.64)
Both teams to score 45.87% (-1.96 -1.96)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.15% (-2.504 -2.5)58.85% (2.5 2.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.64% (-1.985 -1.99)79.35% (1.98 1.98)
Cerro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.33% (-1.438 -1.44)38.67% (1.432 1.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.59% (-1.39 -1.39)75.41% (1.385 1.39)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-1.414 -1.41)25.2% (1.409 1.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (-1.988 -1.99)59.93% (1.983 1.98)
Score Analysis
    Cerro 25.89%
    Nacional 46.76%
    Draw 27.34%
CerroDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.26% (0.507 0.51)
2-1 @ 6.06% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-0 @ 4.4% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.124 -0.12)
3-0 @ 1.39% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.145 -0.15)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.76% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 9.74% (0.886 0.89)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.278 -0.28)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 13.43% (0.72 0.72)
0-2 @ 9.26% (0.125 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.8% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 4.25% (-0.118 -0.12)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.277 -0.28)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.213 -0.21)
0-4 @ 1.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.39% (-0.158 -0.16)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 46.76%

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Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cerro 1-0 Racing
Monday, May 15 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 1-1 Cerro
Monday, May 8 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 29 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Cerro
Monday, April 24 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro 0-2 Torque
Monday, April 17 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-1 Cerro
Saturday, April 8 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Nacional
Wednesday, May 24 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Torque 0-4 Nacional
Sunday, May 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 2-2 Nacional
Sunday, May 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Internacional 2-2 Nacional
Wednesday, May 3 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Nacional 3-0 La Luz
Saturday, April 29 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Wanderers 0-1 Nacional
Tuesday, April 25 at 12am in Uruguayan Primera Division
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Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1DanubioDanubio32104137
2Boston RiverBoston River32016336
3Defensor SportingDefensor31204225
4Montevideo City TorqueTorque31114314
5River PlateRiver Plate31114314
6La Luz310238-53
7Montevideo WanderersWanderers302113-22
8PenarolPenarol301236-31
Group 2
1LiverpoolLiverpool33009369
2Racing de MontevideoRacing32018536
3NacionalNacional31115414
4FenixFenix30302203
5CerroCerro302123-12
6Cerro Largo302146-22
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia302158-32
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado302115-42
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol15104125111434
2NacionalNacional1585228111729
3Defensor SportingDefensor1567227141325
4Cerro Largo156721310325
5Montevideo WanderersWanderers156541612423
6LiverpoolLiverpool156542419520
7River PlateRiver Plate155551719-220
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado155551823-520
9La Luz155462327-418
10CerroCerro153751316-316
11Montevideo City TorqueTorque153571524-916
12Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia154471525-1016
13DanubioDanubio153662019115
14Racing de MontevideoRacing153661317-415
15Boston RiverBoston River152671523-815
16FenixFenix153391123-1212
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