Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
May 14, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Torque
0 - 4
Nacional
Petryk (11'),
Rodriguez (42'), Villa (46'), Pizzichillo (85')
FT(HT: 0-4)
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo City Torque and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 49.04%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 24.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.46%) and 1-2 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Montevideo City Torque win it was 1-0 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Nacional |
24.72% ( 0.05) | 26.24% ( -0.01) | 49.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 47.92% ( 0.06) |
| 44.3% ( 0.05) | 55.7% ( -0.05) |
| 23.15% ( 0.04) | 76.84% ( -0.04) |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| 62.04% ( 0.07) | 37.96% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.27% ( 0.07) | 74.73% ( -0.07) |
| 77.24% ( 0) | 22.76% ( -0) |
