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Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 24
May 1, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Butovsky Vorskla Stadium
DK
Vorskla
1 - 5
Dynamo Kiev
Kulach (24' pen.)
Sapai (55'), Stepanyuk (62'), Thill (71'), Kravchuk (87')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Buyalskyy (6', 15', 31'), Rodrigues (65'), Sidcley (84')
Kedziora (26')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Vorskla Poltava and Dynamo Kiev.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 59.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.65%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Vorskla Poltava win it was 1-0 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.

Result
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDynamo Kiev
18.33%22.29%59.38%
Both teams to score 51.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.88%47.11%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65%69.35%
Vorskla Poltava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.47%39.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.78%76.22%
Dynamo Kiev Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.51%15.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.62%44.38%
Score Analysis
    Vorskla Poltava 18.33%
    Dynamo Kiev 59.38%
    Draw 22.28%
Vorskla PoltavaDrawDynamo Kiev
1-0 @ 5.68%
2-1 @ 4.92%
2-0 @ 2.64%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.42%
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.33%
1-1 @ 10.59%
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 4.59%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 22.28%
0-1 @ 11.42%
0-2 @ 10.65%
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 6.62%
1-3 @ 6.14%
0-4 @ 3.09%
1-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.85%
2-4 @ 1.33%
0-5 @ 1.15%
1-5 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 59.38%

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Ukrainian Premier League Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar24185157174059
2Dnipro-1Dnipro-123173353193454
3Zorya LuhanskLuhansk24164449282152
4Dynamo Kiev23135534191544
5FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya2391043528737
6Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi2495102127-632
7Vorskla PoltavaVorskla238692831-330
8Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka2486102027-730
9Inhulets2476112026-627
10Metalist Kharkiv2451272035-1527
11Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets2468102632-626
12Veres2466123037-724
13Minai2458111728-1123
14Rukh Lviv2449112335-1221
15Metal Kharkiv2447132544-1919
16FC LvivLviv2434171843-2513
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