SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rukh Lviv win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Metalist Kharkiv had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rukh Lviv win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Metalist Kharkiv win was 0-1 (10.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
38.01% ( 0.22) | 27.48% ( -0.06) | 34.51% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 49.29% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.64% ( 0.23) | 56.36% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.62% ( 0.19) | 77.38% ( -0.19) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.29% ( 0.24) | 28.71% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.46% ( 0.3) | 64.54% ( -0.3) |
| Metalist Kharkiv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% ( 0.02) | 30.87% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.85% ( 0.02) | 67.15% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rukh Lviv | Draw | Metalist Kharkiv |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.9% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.66% Total : 38% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 10.41% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 34.5% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 24 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 57 | 17 | 40 | 59 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 54 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 52 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 47 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 23 | 9 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 28 | 7 | 37 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 32 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 30 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 30 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 27 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 26 |
| 12 | Veres | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | Minai | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 23 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 21 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 43 | -25 | 13 |
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