SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vorskla Poltava win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rukh Lviv had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Rukh Lviv win it was 0-1 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
53.64% ( -0.12) | 24.14% ( -0.02) | 22.21% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.18% ( 0.24) | 49.81% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.18% ( 0.21) | 71.81% ( -0.22) |
| Vorskla Poltava Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.5% ( 0.04) | 18.49% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.29% ( 0.07) | 49.71% ( -0.07) |
| Rukh Lviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( 0.27) | 37.01% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.2% ( 0.27) | 73.8% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vorskla Poltava | Draw | Rukh Lviv |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.25% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)Other @ 1% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 22.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 56 | 17 | 39 | 56 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 22 | 16 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 51 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 23 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 19 | 15 | 44 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 34 |
| 6 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 31 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 | Inhulets | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 23 | 5 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 26 |
| 11 | Veres | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 24 |
| 12 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 23 |
| 13 | Minai | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 20 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 19 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 13 |
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