SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 53.02%. A win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest FC Oleksandriya win was 2-1 (6.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
24.65% ( -0.5) | 22.33% ( -0.03) | 53.02% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 60.31% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.67% ( -0.34) | 39.32% ( 0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.34% ( -0.36) | 61.66% ( 0.35) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( -0.57) | 29.12% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.95% ( -0.71) | 65.05% ( 0.71) |
| Shakhtar Donetsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.09% ( 0.06) | 14.91% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.71% ( 0.11) | 43.29% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Oleksandriya | Draw | Shakhtar Donetsk |
| 2-1 @ 6.29% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 5.36% 2-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.36% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.29% Total : 24.65% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.33% | 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 7.86% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.99% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 0.9% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 29 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 68 | 19 | 49 | 72 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 27 | 33 | 64 |
| 3 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 61 | 31 | 30 | 64 |
| 4 | Dynamo Kiev | 28 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 56 |
| 5 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 29 | 10 | 13 | 6 | 42 | 39 | 3 | 43 |
| 6 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 39 |
| 7 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 38 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Metalist Kharkiv | 28 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Minai | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Veres | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 42 | -8 | 28 |
| 13 | Rukh Lviv | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 28 |
| 14 | Inhulets | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 28 |
| 15 | Metal Kharkiv | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 53 | -27 | 22 |
| 16 | FC LvivLviv | 28 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 49 | -31 | 13 |
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