Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 64.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 13.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.84%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.05%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
