SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Kiev win with a probability of 56.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for FC Oleksandriya had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Kiev win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a FC Oleksandriya win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Kiev would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
56.24% ( -0.05) | 24.51% ( -0.04) | 19.26% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 46.12% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.41% ( 0.25) | 54.59% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.07% ( 0.21) | 75.93% ( -0.2) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.68% ( 0.08) | 19.32% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.92% ( 0.12) | 51.08% ( -0.12) |
| FC Oleksandriya Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.16% ( 0.24) | 42.84% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.85% ( 0.21) | 79.15% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dynamo Kiev | Draw | FC Oleksandriya |
| 1-0 @ 13.6% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.52% 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 56.23% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.86% Total : 19.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kryvbas Kryvyi RihKryvbas Kryvyi | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 33 |
| 2 | Dnipro-1Dnipro-1 | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 33 |
| 3 | Polissya ZhytomyrPolissya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 31 |
| 4 | Shakhtar DonetskShakhtar | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | Rukh Lviv | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 18 | 6 | 24 |
| 6 | Dynamo Kiev | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 22 |
| 7 | Vorskla PoltavaVorskla | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 22 |
| 8 | Kolos KovalivkaKovalivka | 15 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 21 |
| 9 | Chornomorets OdesaChornomorets | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 19 |
| 10 | LNZ CherkasyCherkasy | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 15 |
| 12 | Obolon KyivObolon | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | FC OleksandriyaOleksandriya | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | -11 | 13 |
| 14 | Veres | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Zorya LuhanskLuhansk | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 | Minai | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 24 | -18 | 6 |
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