Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Oleksandriya win with a probability of 36.38%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Oleksandriya win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.63%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.17) 
0.18) 
