Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Sion had a probability of 36.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 0-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Sion win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
