Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 46.48%. A win for Servette had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.2%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Servette win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
