Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Yverdon Sport had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Yverdon Sport win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lugano would win this match.
-0.09) 
0.03) 
