Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Zurich win with a probability of 45.97%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Zurich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
45.97% ( -1.34) | 24.41% ( 0.1) | 29.62% ( 1.24) |
Both teams to score 57.43% ( 0.49) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.94% ( 0.27) | 45.05% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.6% ( 0.26) | 67.4% ( -0.26) |
FC Zurich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.28% ( -0.45) | 19.72% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.26% ( -0.74) | 51.73% ( 0.75) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.54% ( 1.01) | 28.46% ( -1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.77% ( 1.25) | 64.23% ( -1.24) |
Score Analysis |
FC Zurich | Draw | Lugano |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 3.16% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.97% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.41% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0.22) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.13) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Young Boys | 36 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 82 | 30 | 52 | 74 |
2 | Servette | 36 | 14 | 16 | 6 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 58 |
3 | LuganoLugano | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 59 | 47 | 12 | 57 |
4 | Luzern | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 56 | 52 | 4 | 50 |
5 | Basel | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
6 | St GallenSt Gallen | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 45 |
7 | Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 56 | 64 | -8 | 44 |
8 | FC Zurich | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 44 |
9 | FC WinterthurWinterthur | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 32 |
10 | Sion | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 41 | 73 | -32 | 31 |
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