Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 73.11%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 10.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.55%), while for an Alanyaspor win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Trabzonspor would win this match.
Result | ||
Trabzonspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
73.11% ( 2.51) | 16.15% ( -1.18) | 10.74% ( -1.32) |
Both teams to score 52.22% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.5% ( 2.01) | 35.51% ( -2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.45% ( 2.19) | 57.55% ( -2.18) |
Trabzonspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.61% ( 1.08) | 8.39% ( -1.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
70.81% ( 2.6) | 29.19% ( -2.6) |
Alanyaspor Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.01% ( -0.92) | 42.99% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.72% ( -0.79) | 79.28% ( 0.8) |
Score Analysis |
Trabzonspor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
2-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.23) 3-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.45) 1-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.45) 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.54) 4-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.35) 3-2 @ 3.26% 5-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.39) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.28) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.21) 5-2 @ 1% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.16) Other @ 2.82% Total : 73.1% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.58) 2-2 @ 3.95% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.15% | 1-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.33) 0-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.21) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 85 |
2 | Fenerbahce | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 42 | 42 | 77 |
3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 77 |
4 | Adana Demirspor | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 66 |
5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 |
6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 51 | 12 | 57 |
7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 50 |
8 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 48 |
9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 35 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 46 |
10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
14 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
15 | Istanbulspor | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 38 |
16 | Giresunspor | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 30 |
18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 25 |
19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 23 |
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