SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 57.17%. A win for Alanyaspor had a probability of 21.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 1-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Alanyaspor win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kayserispor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
57.17% ( -0.19) | 21.34% ( 0) | 21.48% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.62% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.23) | 38.35% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.36% ( 0.25) | 60.64% ( -0.24) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.73% ( 0.02) | 13.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 59.92% ( 0.04) | 40.08% ( -0.03) |
| Alanyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.75% ( 0.31) | 31.25% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.4% ( 0.36) | 67.6% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kayserispor | Draw | Alanyaspor |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.08)1-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 3.34% 4-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.35% 5-0 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.66% Total : 57.17% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.34% | 1-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 35 | 27 | 4 | 4 | 80 | 27 | 53 | 85 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 84 | 42 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 35 | 23 | 8 | 4 | 74 | 33 | 41 | 77 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 35 | 19 | 9 | 7 | 74 | 44 | 30 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 35 | 17 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 51 | 12 | 57 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 35 | 12 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 38 | 8 | 50 |
| 8 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 35 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 72 | 63 | 9 | 48 |
| 9 | KayserisporKayserispor | 35 | 15 | 4 | 16 | 54 | 60 | -6 | 46 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 35 | 12 | 7 | 16 | 45 | 57 | -12 | 43 |
| 11 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 35 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 42 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 41 |
| 13 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 54 | 70 | -16 | 41 |
| 14 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 35 | 11 | 5 | 19 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 38 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 35 | 9 | 10 | 16 | 40 | 60 | -20 | 37 |
| R | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 35 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 47 | 60 | -13 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 31 | 69 | -38 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 6 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 80 | -61 | 23 |
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