SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 42.64%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Besiktas |
32.3% ( 0.16) | 25.06% ( 0.02) | 42.64% ( -0.18) |
| Both teams to score 56.56% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.21% ( -0.04) | 46.79% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.96% ( -0.03) | 69.05% ( 0.03) |
| Antalyaspor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.45% ( 0.08) | 27.56% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.93% ( 0.11) | 63.08% ( -0.11) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.1) | 21.92% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.81% ( -0.15) | 55.19% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Antalyaspor | Draw | Besiktas |
| 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 5.02% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.92% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.65% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 34 | 26 | 4 | 4 | 77 | 27 | 50 | 82 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 84 | 39 | 45 | 77 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 70 | 31 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 41 | 31 | 66 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 49 |
| 8 | KayserisporKayserispor | 34 | 15 | 4 | 15 | 54 | 59 | -5 | 49 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 47 |
| 10 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 11 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 41 |
| 12 | SivassporSivasspor | 35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 38 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 39 | 60 | -21 | 34 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 30 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 66 | -35 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 77 | -58 | 23 |
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