SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 54.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 21.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ankaragucu would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kayserispor |
54.82% ( -0.06) | 23.48% ( -0.04) | 21.69% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.71% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.35% ( 0.3) | 47.65% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.15% ( 0.28) | 69.84% ( -0.28) |
| Ankaragucu Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.74% ( 0.08) | 17.25% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.43% ( 0.15) | 47.57% ( -0.16) |
| Kayserispor Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.7% ( 0.27) | 36.29% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.92% ( 0.27) | 73.08% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ankaragucu | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.91% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.76% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.81% Total : 21.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | GalatasarayGalatasaray | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 79 |
| 2 | Fenerbahce | 32 | 22 | 5 | 5 | 79 | 39 | 40 | 71 |
| 3 | BesiktasBesiktas | 33 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 71 |
| 4 | Adana Demirspor | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 69 | 37 | 32 | 63 |
| 5 | Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | KonyasporKonyaspor | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 49 |
| 7 | KayserisporKayserispor | 33 | 15 | 4 | 14 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 49 |
| 8 | TrabzonsporTrabzonspor | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 48 |
| 9 | Fatih KaragumrukKaragumruk | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 68 | 58 | 10 | 44 |
| 10 | AlanyasporAlanyaspor | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 41 |
| 11 | KasimpasaKasimpasa | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 40 |
| 12 | AntalyasporAntalyaspor | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 37 |
| 13 | SivassporSivasspor | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | AnkaragucuAnkaragucu | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 36 |
| 15 | Istanbulspor | 33 | 10 | 5 | 18 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 35 |
| 16 | Giresunspor | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 31 |
| 17 | UmraniyesporUmraniyespor | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 27 |
| 18 | GaziantepGaziantep | 32 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 32 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 71 | -52 | 23 |
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