SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 23.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Venezia |
49.85% ( -2.4) | 26.42% ( 0.21) | 23.73% ( 2.19) |
| Both teams to score 46.47% ( 1.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.9% ( 1.1) | 57.1% ( -1.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.03% ( 0.87) | 77.98% ( -0.87) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.59) | 22.99% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 43.21% ( -0.88) | 56.79% ( 0.88) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.35% ( 2.79) | 39.65% ( -2.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.67% ( 2.49) | 76.33% ( -2.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Venezia |
| 1-0 @ 13.4% ( -0.82) 2-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.79)2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.48)3-1 @ 4.47% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.21)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.71% Total : 49.85% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 9.12% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.31)Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.21)Other @ 1.4% Total : 23.73% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| 2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| 16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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