SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Modena had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Modena |
48.61% ( -0.64) | 24.57% ( 0.17) | 26.82% ( 0.47) |
| Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.47% ( -0.39) | 47.53% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.27% ( -0.36) | 69.73% ( 0.36) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.39% ( -0.42) | 19.61% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.45% ( -0.68) | 51.55% ( 0.68) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.22% ( 0.16) | 31.78% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.79% ( 0.19) | 68.21% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Modena |
| 1-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.98% Total : 48.61% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.72% Total : 26.82% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| P | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 63 | 26 | 37 | 80 |
| 2 | Genoa | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 73 |
| 3 | BariBari | 38 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 65 |
| 4 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 50 | 34 | 16 | 60 |
| 5 | Parma | 38 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 60 |
| 6 | SudtirolSudtirol | 38 | 14 | 16 | 8 | 38 | 34 | 4 | 58 |
| 7 | RegginaReggina | 38 | 17 | 4 | 17 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | VeneziaVenezia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 49 |
| 9 | Palermo | 38 | 11 | 16 | 11 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 49 |
| 10 | Modena | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 48 |
| 11 | Pisa | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 47 |
| 12 | Como | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 47 | 48 | -1 | 47 |
| 13 | AscoliAscoli | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Cittadella | 38 | 9 | 16 | 13 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 43 |
| 15 | Ternana | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 43 |
| 16 | Brescia | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 36 | 57 | -21 | 40 |
| 17 | Cosenza CalcioCosenza | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 40 |
| 18 | Perugia | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 52 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | SPALSPAL | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 38 |
| 20 | BeneventoBenevento | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
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