Coverage of the Serie B clash between Lecce and Salernitana.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 53.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.