Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 35.7% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
