Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Almeria had a probability of 25.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for an Almeria win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
