SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malaga | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
40.32% ( -0.25) | 28.95% ( 0.13) | 30.73% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.22% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.75% ( -0.37) | 62.26% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.08% ( -0.27) | 81.92% ( 0.28) |
| Malaga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.75% ( -0.33) | 30.25% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.59% ( -0.4) | 66.41% ( 0.4) |
| Sporting Gijon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.39% ( -0.1) | 36.61% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.6% ( -0.1) | 73.4% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malaga | Draw | Sporting Gijon |
| 1-0 @ 13.24% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 40.32% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 11.07% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 4% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.94% | 0-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 30.72% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 30 | 15 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | EibarEibar | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 47 |
| 3 | Levante | 25 | 11 | 11 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 44 |
| 4 | AlavesAlaves | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 43 |
| 5 | Albacete | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Granada | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 41 |
| 7 | Burgos | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Leganes | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Villarreal II | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | CartagenaCartagena | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 33 |
| 11 | FC AndorraFC Andorra | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 32 |
| 12 | Sporting GijonSporting Gijon | 25 | 7 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 32 |
| 13 | TenerifeTenerife | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 31 |
| 14 | Huesca | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 31 |
| 15 | Real Oviedo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 31 |
| 16 | MirandesMirandes | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 30 |
| 17 | Real ZaragozaZaragoza | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 29 |
| 18 | Racing de SantanderRacing | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 26 |
| 19 | PonferradinaPonferradina | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 25 |
| 20 | Malaga | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 22 |
| 21 | LugoLugo | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 21 |
| 22 | UD Ibiza | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 37 | -22 | 16 |
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